Amon-Ra St. BrownorJames Cook?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean James Cook
James Cook outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean James Cook, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 15.5 half-PPR points in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: James Cook faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs), Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Carolina Panthers (19% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 56%; in Standard leagues, James Cook wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.7
- Ceiling
- 27.9
- Big game (20+):
- 26%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 26.0
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | James CookRB, BUF, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.5 | 15.5 |
| PPR projection | 18.6 | 16.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.3 | 14.7 |
| Rank this week | WR4 | RB7 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.4 | 16.1 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 16.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 67% |
| Trade value | 61 | 52 |