Braelon AllenorGeorge Pickens?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Start George Pickens
George Pickens outscores Braelon Allen in 72% of simulations.
Braelon Allen still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so George Pickens is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Pickens projects 5.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (17% more than average to RBs); George Pickens faces the Philadelphia Eagles (average to WRs). George Pickens still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, George Pickens wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | George PickensWR, DAL, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 12.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 10.1 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | WR16 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 88% |
| Trade value | — | 22 |