Amon-Ra St. BrownorJaylen Warren?

Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.

Our call

Lean Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Jaylen Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Warren projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Jaylen Warren has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Green Bay Packers (average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 52%; in Standard leagues, Jaylen Warren wins 62%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Amon-Ra St. Brown
Floor
5.5
Median
13.7
Ceiling
28.5
Big game (20+):
27%
Dud (under 6):
12%
Jaylen Warren
Floor
6.3
Median
14.5
Ceiling
27.2
Big game (20+):
28%
Dud (under 6):
9%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatAmon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ETJaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection15.716.0
PPR projection19.217.7
Standard projection12.114.4
Rank this weekWR6RB7
Matchupvs GBat NO
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game17.115.4
Last season per game15.612.3
Snap share, last game86%75%
Trade value4237