Brock BowersorJosh Jacobs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end or running back.
Our call
Lean Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Brock Bowers in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Josh Jacobs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Brock Bowers has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs); Josh Jacobs faces the New England Patriots (16% fewer than average to RBs). Josh Jacobs still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Brock Bowers is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.9
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 26.0
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 11%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.9
- Ceiling
- 24.7
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 14.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 15.7 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 12.8 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | RB9 |
| Matchup | at SF | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.2 | 18.9 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 71% |
| Trade value | 43 | 43 |