Brock BowersorRashee Rice?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Brock Bowers in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Rashee Rice, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Rashee Rice has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the Kansas City Chiefs (14% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (15+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 5):
- 17%
- Floor
- 5.5
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 16.4 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 22.6 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 77% |
| Trade value | 37 | 30 |