Brock BowersorTetairoa McMillan?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Brock Bowers

Brock Bowers outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Brock Bowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Tetairoa McMillan has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (6% more than average to WRs); Brock Bowers faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Brock Bowers
Floor
4.0
Median
11.3
Ceiling
23.7
Big game (15+):
32%
Dud (under 5):
15%
Tetairoa McMillan
Floor
3.3
Median
10.5
Ceiling
24.1
Big game (20+):
17%
Dud (under 6):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBrock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETTetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.012.5
PPR projection15.915.3
Standard projection10.19.8
Rank this weekTE3WR9
Matchupat NYJat GB
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game15.713.2
Last season per game12.010.5
Snap share, last game84%68%
Trade value3527