Christian WatsonorDrake London?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Drake London in 59% of simulations.
Drake London still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Christian Watson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Christian Watson projects 2.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Christian Watson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs), Drake London faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Drake LondonWR, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.0 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 15.3 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | WR12 |
| Matchup | at TB | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.3 | 11.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | 14.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 93% |
| Trade value | 43 | 31 |