Cam SkatteboorChristian Watson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Cam Skattebo
Cam Skattebo outscores Christian Watson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Christian Watson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Cam Skattebo, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Christian Watson projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Cam Skattebo has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Christian Watson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 24.8
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 14.2 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 16.4 |
| Standard projection | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.0 | 20.3 |
| Last season per game | 14.5 | 11.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 80% |
| Trade value | 27 | 40 |