Cam WardorKirk Cousins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Lean Cam Ward
Cam Ward outscores Kirk Cousins in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kirk Cousins comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Cam Ward, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cam Ward projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Cam Ward has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (5% more than average to QBs); Kirk Cousins faces the Kansas City Chiefs (19% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (25+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 12):
- 54%
- Floor
- 4.9
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 20.6
- Big game (25+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 12):
- 57%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam WardQB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Standard projection | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Rank this week | QB23 | QB24 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 18.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |