Chris BellorJohn Metchie III?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Bell
Chris Bell outscores John Metchie III in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: John Metchie III comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Chris Bell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Bell projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Chris Bell has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs); John Metchie III faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 8.1
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 79%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 2.7
- Ceiling
- 7.8
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 81%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris BellWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | John Metchie IIIWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| PPR projection | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Standard projection | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Rank this week | WR65 | WR67 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 4.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 45% |
| Trade value | — | — |