Chris OlaveorKenneth Walker III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Kenneth Walker III in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenneth Walker III comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Olave has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (13% more than average to WRs); Kenneth Walker III faces the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Kenneth Walker III is the pick at 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 16.1
- Ceiling
- 29.0
- Big game (20+):
- 33%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 17.2 | 16.5 |
| PPR projection | 21.2 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 13.1 | 15.2 |
| Rank this week | WR2 | RB6 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 19.0 | 24.6 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 73% |
| Trade value | 48 | 49 |