D'Andre SwiftorZay Flowers?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Zay Flowers in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Zay Flowers comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 14.1 half-PPR points in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: D'Andre Swift faces the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs), Zay Flowers faces the Atlanta Falcons (13% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 55%. Zay Flowers is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 13.0
- Ceiling
- 27.0
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zay FlowersWR, BAL, Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 14.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 16.7 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | WR7 |
| Matchup | at GB | at ATL |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 14.6 | 19.4 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 11.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 35% | 73% |
| Trade value | 29 | 44 |