Darren WallerorGreg Dulcich?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Greg Dulcich
Greg Dulcich outscores Darren Waller in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Darren Waller comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Greg Dulcich, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Darren Waller projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Greg Dulcich has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (53% more than average to TEs); Darren Waller faces the Denver Broncos (11% more than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Darren Waller is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Greg DulcichTE, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| Rank this week | TE16 | TE18 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 5.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 69% |
| Trade value | — | — |