Greg DulcichorT.J. Hockenson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean T.J. Hockenson
T.J. Hockenson outscores Greg Dulcich in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Greg Dulcich comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean T.J. Hockenson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. T.J. Hockenson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Greg Dulcich has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (53% more than average to TEs); T.J. Hockenson faces the Buffalo Bills (21% fewer than average to TEs). T.J. Hockenson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 13.0
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Greg DulcichTE, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.3 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 5.8 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE14 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.4 | 9.0 |
| Last season per game | 5.5 | 5.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |