Deebo Samuel Sr.orDenzel Boston?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr.

Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Denzel Boston in 57% of simulations.

Denzel Boston still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Deebo Samuel Sr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs); Denzel Boston faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Deebo Samuel Sr.
Floor
3.5
Median
9.4
Ceiling
20.0
Big game (20+):
10%
Dud (under 6):
26%
Denzel Boston
Floor
3.1
Median
8.1
Ceiling
15.8
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
33%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatDeebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ETDenzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.99.0
PPR projection13.110.9
Standard projection8.87.0
Rank this weekWR21WR35
Matchupat DALvs HOU
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.59.6
Last season per game9.5—
Snap share, last game43%93%
Trade value5—