Deebo Samuel Sr.orTee Higgins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Tee Higgins
Tee Higgins outscores Deebo Samuel Sr. in 55% of simulations.
Deebo Samuel Sr. still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Tee Higgins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tee Higgins projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Tee Higgins has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (14% fewer than average to WRs); Deebo Samuel Sr. faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to WRs). Tee Higgins is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 10.3
- Ceiling
- 22.0
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 13.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | WR19 | WR15 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at MIA |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 12.7 | 14.7 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 79% |
| Trade value | 17 | 38 |