Denzel BostonorIsaiah Likely?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Start Denzel Boston
Denzel Boston outscores Isaiah Likely in 71% of simulations.
Isaiah Likely still comes out ahead in the other 29%, so Denzel Boston is the better bet, not a sure thing. Denzel Boston projects 4.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (33% more than average to TEs); Denzel Boston faces the New York Jets (5% fewer than average to WRs). Denzel Boston still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.4
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Denzel BostonWR, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.5 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.1 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 5.4 |
| Rank this week | WR14 | TE15 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 95% | 66% |
| Trade value | 23 | — |