Deshaun WatsonorMarcus Mariota?
Week 10 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Deshaun Watson
Deshaun Watson outscores Marcus Mariota in 99% of simulations.
Marcus Mariota comes out ahead in the other 1%. These are their next games: Deshaun Watson in Week 10, Marcus Mariota in Week 11. Deshaun Watson projects 12.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Marcus Mariota has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (9% more than average to QBs); Deshaun Watson faces the Houston Texans (7% fewer than average to QBs). Deshaun Watson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 8.0
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 19.9
- Big game (25+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 12):
- 41%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.6
- Ceiling
- 1.2
- Big game (25+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 12):
- >99%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deshaun WatsonQB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Marcus MariotaQB, WAS, Mon, Nov 23, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.6 | 0.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 0.7 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 0.7 |
| Rank this week | QB14 | Not ranked |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 16% |
| Trade value | — | — |