DJ MooreorRoman Wilson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Roman Wilson
Roman Wilson outscores DJ Moore in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DJ Moore comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Roman Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.1 half-PPR points in Week 5. Roman Wilson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs); DJ Moore faces the Los Angeles Rams (1% more than average to WRs). DJ Moore is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.1
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DJ MooreWR, BUF, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | Roman WilsonWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.8 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR37 | WR38 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs IND |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 3.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 39% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |