Jordan AddisonorRoman Wilson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jordan Addison
Jordan Addison outscores Roman Wilson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Roman Wilson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jordan Addison, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Roman Wilson projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Roman Wilson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (14% more than average to WRs); Jordan Addison faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to WRs). Jordan Addison still wins more often despite that. Jordan Addison is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan AddisonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Roman WilsonWR, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 7.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | WR43 | WR40 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs IND |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 3.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 96% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |