Jacory Croskey-MerrittorOllie Gordon II?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Ollie Gordon II in 58% of simulations.
Ollie Gordon II still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs), Ollie Gordon II faces the Cincinnati Bengals (18% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 16.5
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB32 |
| Matchup | vs NYG | vs CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |