Jalen HurtsorKirk Cousins?

Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.

Our call

Start Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts outscores Kirk Cousins in 59% of simulations.

Kirk Cousins still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Jalen Hurts is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jalen Hurts projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Jalen Hurts faces the Carolina Panthers (6% fewer than average to QBs), Kirk Cousins faces the Buffalo Bills (average to QBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jalen Hurts
Floor
9.0
Median
15.5
Ceiling
25.1
Big game (25+):
10%
Dud (under 12):
27%
Kirk Cousins
Floor
6.4
Median
13.4
Ceiling
24.2
Big game (25+):
9%
Dud (under 12):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJalen HurtsQB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETKirk CousinsQB, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.414.6
PPR projection16.414.6
Standard projection16.414.6
Rank this weekQB14QB18
Matchupvs CARvs BUF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.018.5
Last season per game18.810.4
Snap share, last game100%83%
Trade value——