Jalen NailororTank Dell?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Tank Dell

Tank Dell outscores Jalen Nailor in 86% of simulations.

Jalen Nailor comes out ahead in the other 14%. Tank Dell projects 7.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tank Dell has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs); Jalen Nailor faces the Seattle Seahawks (23% fewer than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jalen Nailor
Floor
0.3
Median
2.5
Ceiling
8.8
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
79%
Tank Dell
Floor
3.3
Median
10.0
Ceiling
21.5
Big game (20+):
13%
Dud (under 6):
26%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJalen NailorWR, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ETTank DellWR, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection3.811.6
PPR projection4.612.9
Standard projection2.910.4
Rank this weekWR67WR15
Matchupvs SEAat CLE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game3.611.8
Last season per game5.1—
Snap share, last game74%47%
Trade value—30