Jameis WinstonorTyler Shough?
Week 6 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Tyler Shough
Tyler Shough outscores Jameis Winston in 56% of simulations.
Jameis Winston still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tyler Shough is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Shough projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tyler Shough has the better matchup against the New York Giants (12% more than average to QBs); Jameis Winston faces the New Orleans Saints (9% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (25+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 12):
- 47%
- Floor
- 6.8
- Median
- 14.6
- Ceiling
- 26.7
- Big game (25+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 12):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jameis WinstonQB, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler ShoughQB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.0 | 15.8 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 15.8 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 15.8 |
| Rank this week | QB17 | QB13 |
| Matchup | vs NO | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.1 | 17.0 |
| Last season per game | 14.3 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | — |