Jaylen WaddleorJordan Watkins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Waddle
Jaylen Waddle outscores Jordan Watkins in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jordan Watkins comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Jaylen Waddle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Waddle projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jordan Watkins has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Jaylen Waddle faces the Seattle Seahawks (19% fewer than average to WRs). Jaylen Waddle still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WaddleWR, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jordan WatkinsWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | WR34 | WR38 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 10.1 | 1.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 28% |
| Trade value | 3 | — |