Jaylen WarrenorTee Higgins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Tee Higgins in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jaylen Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Warren projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jaylen Warren has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Tee Higgins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (2% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jaylen Warren wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 30.4
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.4 | 16.3 |
| PPR projection | 17.9 | 19.0 |
| Standard projection | 14.9 | 13.6 |
| Rank this week | RB7 | WR4 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 68% |
| Trade value | 48 | 61 |