Jaylen WarrenorTee Higgins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Tee Higgins in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jaylen Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tee Higgins projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Warren faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to RBs), Tee Higgins faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 14.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.6 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 90% | 93% |
| Trade value | 21 | 26 |