Amon-Ra St. BrownorJonathan Taylor?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Jonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Jonathan Taylor, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jonathan Taylor projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jonathan Taylor faces the Miami Dolphins (12% more than average to RBs), Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the New England Patriots (10% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Jonathan Taylor wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 27%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 31.0
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Jonathan TaylorRB, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.8 | 17.1 |
| PPR projection | 19.7 | 18.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.9 | 15.5 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | RB5 |
| Matchup | vs NE | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.9 | 15.6 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 20.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 69% |
| Trade value | 50 | 48 |