Jaylin NoelorKalif Raymond?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond outscores Jaylin Noel in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Jaylin Noel comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Kalif Raymond, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 5.9 half-PPR points in Week 6. Kalif Raymond has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); Jaylin Noel faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (4% more than average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jaylin Noel
Floor
1.0
Median
4.4
Ceiling
12.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
63%
Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.0
Median
4.6
Ceiling
13.0
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
61%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJaylin NoelWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.95.9
PPR projection7.17.5
Standard projection4.84.3
Rank this weekWR48WR46
Matchupat JAXat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.68.1
Last season per game3.33.7
Snap share, last game45%68%
Trade value——