Jerry JeudyorKyle Williams?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jerry Jeudy
Jerry Jeudy outscores Kyle Williams in 57% of simulations.
Kyle Williams still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jerry Jeudy is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyle Williams projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kyle Williams has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Jerry Jeudy faces the New Orleans Saints (7% fewer than average to WRs). Jerry Jeudy still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jerry Jeudy wins 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 8.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 77%
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 2.6
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 74%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jerry JeudyWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle WilliamsWR, NE, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| PPR projection | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| Standard projection | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| Rank this week | WR61 | WR59 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 60% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | — |