Jonah ColemanorSean Tucker?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Jonah Coleman

Jonah Coleman outscores Sean Tucker in 63% of simulations.

Sean Tucker still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Jonah Coleman is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jonah Coleman projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Sean Tucker has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Jonah Coleman still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jonah Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%
Sean Tucker
Floor
0.3
Median
3.5
Ceiling
14.9
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
66%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETSean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.95.9
PPR projection7.76.1
Standard projection6.15.8
Rank this weekRB36RB40
Matchupvs KCvs ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.16.7
Last season per game—5.1
Snap share, last game49%14%
Trade value——