Kalif RaymondorXavier Worthy?

Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Xavier Worthy

Xavier Worthy outscores Kalif Raymond in 56% of simulations.

Kalif Raymond still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Xavier Worthy is the better bet, not a sure thing. Xavier Worthy projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kalif Raymond has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); Xavier Worthy faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs). Xavier Worthy still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kalif Raymond
Floor
1.0
Median
4.6
Ceiling
13.1
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
61%
Xavier Worthy
Floor
2.1
Median
5.5
Ceiling
11.2
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
56%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatKalif RaymondWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETXavier WorthyWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.96.2
PPR projection7.57.7
Standard projection4.34.7
Rank this weekWR43WR40
Matchupat ATLvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.16.6
Last season per game3.76.4
Snap share, last game68%75%
Trade value——