KC ConcepcionorOmar Cooper Jr.?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Omar Cooper Jr.

Omar Cooper Jr. outscores KC Concepcion in 68% of simulations.

KC Concepcion still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Omar Cooper Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Omar Cooper Jr. projects 5.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Omar Cooper Jr. faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs), KC Concepcion faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

KC Concepcion
Floor
2.9
Median
8.6
Ceiling
19.6
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
32%
Omar Cooper Jr.
Floor
5.6
Median
13.9
Ceiling
28.4
Big game (20+):
26%
Dud (under 6):
11%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETOmar Cooper Jr.WR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.915.6
PPR projection12.218.8
Standard projection7.712.4
Rank this weekWR26WR7
Matchupvs HOUvs BUF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.813.2
Last season per game——
Snap share, last game93%86%
Trade value651