Keenan AllenorLadd McConkey?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen outscores Ladd McConkey in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ladd McConkey comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Keenan Allen has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (23% more than average to WRs); Ladd McConkey faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ladd McConkey is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Keenan AllenWR, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ladd McConkeyWR, LAC, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR28 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.1 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 90% |
| Trade value | — | — |