Keenan AllenorMack Hollins?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen outscores Mack Hollins in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Mack Hollins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Keenan Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Keenan Allen projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Keenan Allen faces the Dallas Cowboys (21% more than average to WRs), Mack Hollins faces the Detroit Lions (14% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Mack Hollins is the pick at 53%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Keenan Allen
Floor
2.5
Median
7.5
Ceiling
16.4
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Mack Hollins
Floor
3.0
Median
7.1
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
39%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKeenan AllenWR, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ETMack HollinsWR, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.98.0
PPR projection11.79.9
Standard projection6.16.2
Rank this weekWR36WR38
Matchupat DALat DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.67.9
Last season per game8.46.5
Snap share, last game56%68%
Trade value——