Michael WilsonorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Michael Wilson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Quinshon Judkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.8 half-PPR points in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Quinshon Judkins faces the New York Jets (32% more than average to RBs), Michael Wilson faces the Detroit Lions (25% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quinshon Judkins wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 14.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | RB12 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 66% |
| Trade value | 21 | 16 |