Ollie Gordon IIorSaquon Barkley?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Saquon Barkley
Saquon Barkley outscores Ollie Gordon II in 65% of simulations.
Ollie Gordon II still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Saquon Barkley is the better bet, not a sure thing. Saquon Barkley projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Saquon Barkley has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 18.5
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET | Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 10.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 11.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB18 |
| Matchup | vs NE | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 7.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 15% |
| Trade value | — | 2 |