A.J. BrownorJalen Coker?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown outscores Jalen Coker in 55% of simulations.
Jalen Coker still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so A.J. Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. A.J. Brown projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. A.J. Brown has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (14% more than average to WRs); Jalen Coker faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 18.4
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | A.J. BrownWR, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET | Jalen CokerWR, CAR, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR26 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.2 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 6.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 75% |
| Trade value | 5 | 3 |