DeVonta SmithorRome Odunze?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start DeVonta Smith
DeVonta Smith outscores Rome Odunze in 56% of simulations.
Rome Odunze still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so DeVonta Smith is the better bet, not a sure thing. DeVonta Smith projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Rome Odunze has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (12% more than average to WRs); DeVonta Smith faces the Carolina Panthers (15% fewer than average to WRs). DeVonta Smith still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rome OdunzeWR, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | WR22 | WR26 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.0 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 99% |
| Trade value | 16 | — |