Amon-Ra St. BrownorGeorge Kittle?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or tight end.
Our call
Lean George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean George Kittle, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Amon-Ra St. Brown projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Miami Dolphins (10% fewer than average to WRs). Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 15.9 | 15.3 |
| Standard projection | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| Rank this week | WR10 | TE4 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs LV |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 91% |
| Trade value | 50 | 27 |