Ashton JeantyorChris Olave?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Ashton Jeanty in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Ashton Jeanty has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (15% more than average to RBs); Chris Olave faces the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Ashton Jeanty is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 27.2
- Big game (20+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.5 | 14.6 |
| PPR projection | 16.6 | 18.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.4 | 11.1 |
| Rank this week | RB8 | WR6 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.7 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 13.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 53% | 91% |
| Trade value | 32 | 39 |