Bo NixorDak Prescott?
Week 9 start/sit decision, quarterback versus quarterback.
Our call
Start Dak Prescott
Dak Prescott outscores Bo Nix in 65% of simulations.
Bo Nix still comes out ahead in the other 35%, so Dak Prescott is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dak Prescott projects 3.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Dak Prescott has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to QBs); Bo Nix faces the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to QBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.2
- Median
- 14.5
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Big game (25+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 12):
- 36%
- Floor
- 10.0
- Median
- 18.2
- Ceiling
- 29.8
- Big game (25+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 12):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bo NixQB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Dak PrescottQB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.6 | 19.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 19.1 |
| Standard projection | 15.6 | 19.1 |
| Rank this week | QB14 | QB9 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.4 | 18.5 |
| Last season per game | 17.9 | 18.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 100% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |