Brock BowersorChase Brown?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end or running back.
Our call
Lean Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Chase Brown in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chase Brown comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Brock Bowers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 2.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Chase Brown has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (7% more than average to RBs); Brock Bowers faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 11%
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 20.7
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 15%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 15.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 9.9 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | RB15 |
| Matchup | at SF | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.2 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 69% |
| Trade value | 43 | 17 |