Bucky IrvingorTee Higgins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving outscores Tee Higgins in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tee Higgins comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Bucky Irving, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bucky Irving projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bucky Irving has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Tee Higgins faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bucky IrvingRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 14.4 | 14.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | WR13 |
| Matchup | vs GB | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 93% |
| Trade value | 17 | 26 |