Garrett WilsonorTee Higgins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Tee Higgins in 59% of simulations.
Tee Higgins still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Garrett Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Garrett Wilson projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Garrett Wilson has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (15% more than average to WRs); Tee Higgins faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (2% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 26.9
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.0
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tee HigginsWR, CIN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.0 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 18.3 | 14.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.6 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 12.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 93% |
| Trade value | 33 | 26 |