Chris OlaveorJonah Coleman?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Jonah Coleman in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jonah Coleman comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jonah Coleman has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (20% more than average to RBs); Chris Olave faces the Cleveland Browns (9% fewer than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave wins 59%; in Standard leagues, Jonah Coleman is the pick at 52%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.2 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 10.8 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | RB14 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.3 | 9.9 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 66% |
| Trade value | 34 | 8 |