Chris OlaveorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Tony Pollard in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tony Pollard comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Chris Olave has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (8% fewer than average to WRs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Olave wins 61%; in Standard leagues, Tony Pollard is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 15.6 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR11 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 85% | 82% |
| Trade value | 37 | 40 |