Christian WatsonorJeremiyah Love?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean Christian Watson
Christian Watson outscores Jeremiyah Love in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jeremiyah Love comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Christian Watson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Christian Watson projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Christian Watson faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3% fewer than average to WRs). Christian Watson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.6
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.2
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Christian WatsonWR, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.0 | 14.1 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | WR8 | RB10 |
| Matchup | at TB | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 20.3 | 12.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.5 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 64% |
| Trade value | 43 | 25 |