Chuba HubbardorJustin Jefferson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson outscores Chuba Hubbard in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chuba Hubbard comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Justin Jefferson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.4 half-PPR points in Week 7. Justin Jefferson has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (8% more than average to WRs); Chuba Hubbard faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Justin Jefferson wins 56%; in Standard leagues, Chuba Hubbard is the pick at 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.5
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justin JeffersonWR, MIN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 15.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.4 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB12 | WR17 |
| Matchup | vs TB | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 13.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 94% | 89% |
| Trade value | 31 | 18 |