Chuba HubbardorMalik Nabers?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back or wide receiver.

Our call

Lean Chuba Hubbard

Chuba Hubbard outscores Malik Nabers in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Malik Nabers comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chuba Hubbard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Malik Nabers projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Chuba Hubbard faces the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs), Malik Nabers faces the Washington Commanders (11% more than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Chuba Hubbard wins 57%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chuba Hubbard
Floor
5.2
Median
12.1
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
14%
Malik Nabers
Floor
3.3
Median
11.4
Ceiling
27.5
Big game (20+):
22%
Dud (under 6):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatChuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETMalik NabersWR, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.813.9
PPR projection15.417.1
Standard projection12.210.7
Rank this weekRB10WR8
Matchupat NOvs WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.712.9
Last season per game7.412.0
Snap share, last game89%79%
Trade value2936