Chuba HubbardorTrey McBride?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back or tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Chuba Hubbard in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Chuba Hubbard comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 12.6 half-PPR points in Week 6. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to RBs); Trey McBride faces the Los Angeles Rams (19% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Trey McBride wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Chuba Hubbard is the pick at 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 21.3
- Big game (15+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 5):
- 9%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 16.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | TE3 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 90% |
| Trade value | 28 | 35 |